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April 8, 2008 Baseball Picks
Note: Brewers fall into our system DI if you purchased our systems document.
Milwaukee Brewers +101 over Cincinnati Reds (1.0 Units) - The Brewers are underdogs at home despite coming into the series off of sweeping the Giants? Not only that but the Reds are playing in their first road game of the year. The Reds played a road game on Monday against the Phillies and have to travel last night all the while the Brewers are staying at home licking their chops to get back on the baseball field and win more games. Over the past 8 years, home dogs against a divisional rival off sweeping their opponent has been undervalued by about 20 points a game on average across the 63 times it has occurred. Only having two losing seasons across that span.
We won three games yesterday, let's hope these Brewers make it #4 straight for us, and four straight wins themselves.
Thanks,
EBB
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Updated: 8/24/09
NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities
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